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Vigorous exertion and endurance training have been reported
to increase atrial fibrillation (AF).
Associations of habitual light or moderate
activity with AF incidence have not been
evaluated.
We prospectively investigated associations of
leisure-time activity, exercise intensity, and
walking habits, assessed at baseline and updated
during follow-up visits, with incident AF,
diagnosed by annual 12-lead ECGs and hospital
discharge records, from 1989 to 2001 among 5446
adults 65 years of age in the Cardiovascular
Health Study. During 47 280 person-years of
follow-up, 1061 new AF cases occurred (incidence
22.4/1000 person-years). In
multivariable-adjusted analyses, leisure-time
activity was associated with lower AF incidence
in a graded manner, with 25% (hazard ratio [HR]
0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61 to
0.90), 22% (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.95), and
36% (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.79) lower risk in
quintiles 3, 4, and 5 versus quintile 1 (P for
trend < 0.001). Exercise intensity had a
U-shaped relationship with AF (quadratic P =
0.02): Versus no exercise, AF incidence was
lower with moderate-intensity exercise (HR 0.72,
95% CI 0.58 to 0.89) but not with high-intensity
exercise (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.19). Walking
distance and pace were each associated with
lower AF risk in a graded manner (P for trend <
0.001); when we assessed the combined effects of
distance and pace, individuals in quartiles 2,
3, and 4 had 25% (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.99),
32% (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.92), and 44% (HR
0.56, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.82) lower AF incidence
than individuals in quartile 1. Findings
appeared unrelated to confounding by comorbidity
or indication. After evaluation of cut points of
moderate leisure-time activity (600 kcal/week),
walking distance (12 blocks per week), and pace
(2 mph), 26% of all new AF cases (95% CI 7% to
43%) appeared attributable to absence of these
activities.
Light to moderate physical activities, particularly
leisure-time activity and walking, are
associated with significantly lower AF incidence
in older adults.
Circulation. 2008;118:800-807
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